I have mentioned in a few of the recent articles about the need to treat the current horse race form and performances with a pinch of salt. As we have seen, so many of the meetings have been lost to dismal weather conditions, and those that have gone ahead have featured the going description “heavy” in many of them.
When the going goes this way the form book really struggles to make sense of many of the results, as most of the more recent past runs will have occurred under different circumstances. Horses that have shown a preference for slow and softer conditions suddenly show much improved form and can be very difficult to find.
I have been keeping my stakes to the bear minimum and will continue to do so until the conditions improve. With this in mind I thought I would use the time to re-visit a couple of methods that specialise in trying to find those elusive really big priced winners, or in the case of the second method high priced place horses.
First of all I had a look at the performance of a method that arrived in a blaze of glory after last years Cheltenham Festival. Smoke and Mirrors uses the live market to make its selections and has a combination of triggers which I have found a little confusing when things can change quite quickly in the minutes and seconds before the off. I decided to stick to one of it’s method’s which is simple to use and in the past has highlighted some really nice priced winners.
Between Monday 1st Feb and up to the end of yesterday’s racing (Thursday 4th Feb) 25 horses were found using this one selection method, and amazingly amongst these were the following:
2nd33/1 Adam de Beaulieu
Won 25/1 Hucking Hero
2nd14/1 Jazrawy
Won 20/1 Gaily Noble
2nd 9/2 Alfred The ordinary
Won 20/1 Viking Blond
Won 33/1 Roaming West
3rd 16/1 Mister Teddy
2nd 25/1 The Cuckoo
3rd16/1 Muktasb
2nd14/1 Sir Sandicliffe
Simply placing a £10 level stake to win at starting prices on all of the selections would have produced a staggering profit of £760.00, but forgive me for mentioning it once more, but on bigger priced fancies we really should be using the Betfair SP, if we had, the profits would have grown to £1311.16 which is 75.52% more. More on Big Priced Winners….How do we find them???
Written by on Feb 5th, 2010. Comment.



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