Beaten Females Final Review

Although it made a small profit using level stakes it made quite a big loss using the advised staking plan so I have put Beaten Females in the failed section.

At last the Final Review for the Beaten Females, the service run by Sam McCallion, based on laying female horses in Irish racing. I let the review run to 84 betting days to give the Level Stakes system a chance, but when you consider there were possibly 210 betting days since the start on 8 September 2011, it only illustrates how infrequent the bets came along.

The methodology of using the system is really simple and literally took minutes to find selections, or not, realising that not every Irish race in the system’s parameters contained a qualifying race or a qualifying female horse.  There were times when a week went by without any qualifying races. Certainly not one for the ‘get-rich-quick’ boys, more for those adding to a portfolio of systems. Having said that, there were times when three or four would turn up at once, akin to the proverbial London ’bus.

The author recommended two staking systems: Level Stakes and a 5% Rolling Bank. I operated both for the purposes of this review with a 500-point opening bank for each. Level Stakes used a 1% stake throughout and the Rolling Bank 5%. The latter took 5% of the starting bank as stake then calculated 5% of the bank after every betting day to establish the stake for the following day selections. Both systems, quite obviously, mirrored each other in results, apart from the fact that the stakes were vastly different. Whereas the Level Stakes always used a five-point lay, the Rolling Stakes started off five times that amount and more than doubled in size as the early successes came along.

Rolling Stakes became quite scary as an initial good run lasted for 12 days and the 20^th bet had a stake of 55.54 points. Along came black Day 13, the first loser and 250 points knocked off the 663.7 points amassed since the start. There was a recovery over the next two days, then another big loss before recovering again only to drift along in steady decline and by the 40^th day had gone into recession, never to recover, finishing with a 126.59 point loss.



In contrast, Level Stakes did not make a loss until the 68^th day, was back in profit on Day 74, fell to its lowest deficit of 21.72 points on Day 78, then recovered slowly to close with a profit of 44.78 points.



1% Level Stakes points profits for every ten days

Personally I would rule out using a 5% Rolling Bank at all, based on the high liability and the performance during this review. Level Stakes reached 85.5 points profit at its peak but did not make steady progress. It just seemed to lope along and did not even cover the £57 membership fee by the finish. To be a successful system you have to look at long-term profits. Everything seemed to be going fine in the early stages but it never made any sustainable progress after the infamous Day 13.

Reporting profits and losses as above is all very fine but there are a few problems yet to be mentioned. The Irish racing does not attract anywhere near as much investment as the UK racing and so therefore the liquidity is never going to be as good. There was an email service for the first year of this service which claims to send out tips around 11pm the previous night, this is not always so, sometimes the day before’s tip are still displayed. The idea of an early tip is to get on at the best price, I imagined, but only around 20% have been below the 6.8 top price threshold in the evening. Most of them never get below that figure. Also, as the results use the Betfair starting price, it would seem logical to lay them nearer the off. I did lay the tips myself, but only with very small amounts so I can make sure the 6.8 threshold is actually reached when they are sent out above the threshold, but with 200 copies of the system already sold and the prospect of further copies now being made available to readers following this review, it would seem unlikely, bearing in mind the way the size of the stake has increased since the start, that all those people investing in a particular horse would be able to get bets matched at that liquidity.

Another worrying factor is the Beaten Females site is no longer active and the blog has comments on it that are over 200 days old.

Admin Note

We’ve tried to contact Sam McCallion and Inspector John has had an email from him to say he has withdrawn from the betting market completely so the system is no longer for sale or supported.

Inspector John reviewing Beaten Females