It is getting ever closer to the start of the World Cup 2010 and by now you should be putting plans into action which mean that you can make more profits from the extravaganza. The best teams in the world, the colour, the razzmatazz, the noise, the crowds, the excitement, the pain, the penalties—–oh, those damned penalties.

This post is just to give you a couple of hints and a few facts and figures that should help you in your search for profit making avenues. Will you just be following your favourite tipster? Or have you already got a system that allows you an advantage over the Books? Whatever you are going to do, there are a few facts that you need to know about the World Cup.

First off, of course, it is THE biggest football competition in the world. The stakes and pressure on teams, is at its’ greatest and the highs and lows are completely polarised. How does this manifest itself in World Cup games. We shall now have a look at the stats. The last 2 World Cups at South Korea/Japan in 2002 and Germany in 2006, gave some very similar statistics and if this World Cup follows suit, and there is no reason to believe it won’t, then you should be onto a winner. So we shall be using the stats from the last 2 World Cups as the basis for our profit making and pointing you in the right direction to make those profits.

 

Fact 1  -  60% of World Cup games go under 2.5 goals

That is far higher than any of the leading leagues around Europe, although the French Ligue 1 does come close.

England   48%   Under

Spain   51%   Under

Italy   52%   Under

Germany   45%   Under

Holland   48%   Under

France   58%   Under

So if you are a fan of the Under/Over 2.5 goals market (and I include myself in that club) then you will immediately see where the value lies. In a typical game where the Unders are rated at 60%, if you can get odds of more than 1.7 then you are in the money. In the 2002 and 2006 World Cups, if you had blindly placed a £100 bet on every single game to go under 2.5 goals at typical odds of 1.8, you would have made more than £1,000, just on one simple strategy.

 

Fact 2  -  22% of World Cup games finish 0-0 or 1-1

Again, this is higher than any leading European league other than Serie A.

England   19%

Spain   20%

Italy   22%

Germany   21%

Holland   16%

France   21%

For those that like the Correct Score market you would have been able to Dutch the 0-0 and 1-1 scorelines, inevery game  over the last 2 World Cups and at odds of say 10/1 for 0-0 and 6/1 for 1-1, you would have made a profit of 88 points or £880 @ £10/point. That is now about £1900 using 2 simple strategies.

 

Fact 3  -  the total number of Draws at the last 2 World Cups has been 27%

Turning 27% into odds gives you 3.7. So from that you can deduce that if the odds are greater than 3.7 you can back the Draw and if they are less than 3.7 you can lay the Draw and over the stretch of the World Cup you would come out in profit. There are provisos to that statement though. In the first round of Group games I would never lay the Draw and once you get to the Quarter Finals and beyond, I would never lay the Draw. That would leave you 40 games in which it would be safe to lay the Draw if under 3.7.

Fact 4  -  38% of World Cup games finish 1-0 or 2-0

Again this is far higher than any top European league.

England   29%

Spain   31%

Italy   30%

Germany   24%

Holland   32%

France   36%

You can use this information to Dutch a couple of scorelines and make yourself a nice little profit or you can go one better and use all of the above information, actual facts and stats, put it together with a fabulous piece of software called BOSS and make yourself a real killing on this year’s World Cup.

For those that don’t know, BOSS is a Correct Score piece of software that allows you to formulate plans and strategies around different scorelines. With a fair degree of accuracy, we know what the vast majority of scorelines will be at the World Cup this Summer and the BOSS will allow us to use that information to make certain profit from the event.

It is a fantastically simple piece of software that generates win after win, profit after profit, no long losing runs, it is just a bank building machine that works time after time, not just for the World Cup but during the normal football season as well. It is one piece of armour that we all need when taking on the Books.

Please go check it out here. 

The Friday Footy Tips are going from strength to strength. Two winners last week and we are now showing a 54% Strike Rate and a 23% ROI, a very healthy situation all round, especially as the tips are at average odds of 2.3. The Lay trial is still going well, with an almost 59% Strike Rate and a 27% ROI, this is laying odds-on football teams where they are not worthy of being odds-on. For this weekend’s Friday Footy Tips we are backing one and laying one.

Back  Hamilton  2.2  Betfair  -  Hamilton are at home to Kilmarnock. Not long ago Hamilton were at the bottom and Kilmarnock were doing fine but now it is the opposite way round. Hamilton are on a fabulous run that has seen them lose only 1 in their last 8 games and that was to Rangers, whereas Kilmarnock have only won 1 of their last 8 and that was at home to Aberdeen. Their away form has been atrocious all season, winning just 2 games away from home. Jimmy Calderwood is doing all he can but it will be their home form that keeps them up, if indeed they do stay up. Hamilton are really cooking with gas at the moment, 4 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the last 8 matches, have shot them up the table to safety. They can now play with no pressure on at all but Kilmarnock have the pressure of the world on their backs and finding it difficult to cope with. At 2.2 with Betfair, there is definite value for Hamilton and I am willing to give the team from Douglas Park the nod. 

Lay  Leicester  1.8  Betfair  -  Leicester are at home to Watford, both teams desperately need the points for different reasons, Leicester to stay in the play-offs and Watford to avoid relegation. Leicester have been a bit hit and miss all season at home, they have dropped points in almost 50% of their home games. They have come back into a bit of form at just the right team, winning their last 2 games but they have only once this season won 3 games in a row, so maybe they are due a bit of a reversal. Watford have struggled most of the season but since they lost at home to Palace in March, they have drawn 3 and won 1 of their next 5 matches, including draws against West Brom, Middlesboro and Preston and of course we were with them last week when they beat Plymouth. They have picked up at least a point in almost 50% of their away games and I just think they are on a bit of a roll at the moment. There is certainly no value in the price to back Leicester, so I would be happy to lay them at 1.80.