December 28th
Hi Bloggers,
I am afriad the tough start to our review continues, as soon as I saw the West Brom to win tip I feared the worst as often it is best to go against what the football world think, and I see a lot of tipsters were on WB today. whoops!
anyway, got a bit of luck with a late goal for Norwich, so hopefully things will swing upwards soon.
15:00 UK Leeds v Portsmouth – OVER 2.5 GOALS 1pt won
15:00 UK Norwich v Sheff Utd – LAY Sheff Utd – Risk 2pts won
15:00 UK Southampton v Huddersfield – DRAW 1pt lost
15:00 UK West Brom v Blackburn – HOME WIN 2pts lost
-1.65 pts today
New Total -5.65
Inspector Karl
Written by on Dec 28th, 2010. Comment.
In tragic circumstances, the Africa Cup of Nations in Angola got underway yesterday. The why’s and wherefore’s of what actually happened last week will carry on until well after the World Cup in South Africa because the implications are just too dreadful to contemplate, with the greatest ever festival of sport about to engulf the African continent for the first time.
Personally, I fully endorse the decision to continue with the Africa Cup of Nations but fully understand the reasons why Togo felt unable to compete. However, it is right to play the tournament because there is no way we should ever let a bunch of rebels, hooligans, terrorists, criminals, whatever you like to call them, interfere with our way of life and for pursuing our ambitions.
For the last decade, Africa has developed the game of football faster than anywhere else in the world. Their teams are now more organised, more tactically aware, more technically gifted, fitter, better trained and skilful, than they have ever been. The game on the African continent has exploded over the last decade and now all the top teams in the world have scouting operations in Africa and help with the development of youngsters over there.
As for the tournament itself, we see all the usual suspects at the top of the betting charts, Ivory Coast, Cameroon, Ghana, Nigeria and Egypt. I certainly expect the winner to come from this group. The Elephants (Ivory Coast) have come unstuck at the last 2 African Cups to Egypt and they will be desperate to put right that anomaly and have been made tournament favourites, at a prohibitive 9/4.
As so often, when it gets to the knock-out stage, the favourites don’t always get it their own way and the Elephants have suffered with this over the last few competitions, so it does make you wonder about their mental strength and at the price they don’t offer the value, albeit that the Drog will be leading their line and surely scoring one or two goals along the way. They also, do have the talent and experience, which is why they are favourites but not value, in my mind. More on Africa Cup of Nations
Written by on Jan 11th, 2010. Comment.
Happy New Year to all the readers out there. Here’s hoping for another profitable year. With plenty of football action to look forward to, could this finally be the year in which England bring back that damn World Cup, it is long overdue!
The New Year is generally a time for reflection on the first half of the season and re-assessment of any betting strategies that may need tweaking. Football clubs also do their re-assessing at this time of the year.
The transfer window is open and teams will look to strengthen, if finances allow. For clubs in the lower reaches, the recent postponements are causing havoc, as revenue has stalled and repurcussions could follow further down the line, with points deductions as they go into administration.
As a way of looking back, let me just remind you of the Homes, Draws and Aways, win percentages of the top 4 English Leagues over the last 10 seasons.
Homes 45%, Draws 27%, Aways 28%
If we now have a look at how each of the top 4 divisions are doing so far this season, we may get an idea of how things might progress for the rest of the season.
Premiership H 51%, D 24%, A 25%
Championship H 41%, D 32%, A 27%
League 1 H 47%, D 27%, A 26%
League 2 H 43%, D 27%, A 30%
Over the short term statistics can be pulled out of kilter but over the longer term they are generally brought back into line with the norm. Bearing this in mind, you will see from the above stats that Leagues 1 and 2 have performed pretty much in line with what has happened over the last 10 years. In fact if you added the results from Leagues 1 and 2 together, they would exactly reflect the past 10 years. Even so, you will see that the Homes and Aways in both these divisions are slightly out of line. More on New Year, New Beginnings…
Written by on Jan 4th, 2010. Comment.



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