6th November 2011

Hi Bloggers, Inspector Colin here, with the results for Day 17 of Lay of The Day, published by ZeroHype.

Another selection for Saturday, again at relatively short odds – 6.0 (advised at 6.2). For a while it looked as though we were going to have another loser, as the horse traded at 1.5 in play – but in the end it faded to 2nd place.

I’m monitoring against fixed stakes (a 30 point liability per bet or 3% of the original bank), and using the recommended staking provided by Lay of the Day.

Hit rate at 84.2% overall we have the following results:

Fixed Stake

Day 17 : Stake 30 points, Odds 6.0,      Gain 5.7 points

Cum:    Stake 570 points,   Odds 8.88,      Loss (-40.01) points.

ROI (-7.0)%. Bank (from 1000 start)  959.99 (down 4.0%).

Recommended Stakes

Day 17 : Target profit 2.5 point, Stake 12.5 points, Gain 2.38 points

Cum: Target profit 30 points, Stake 250.62 points, Loss (-7.14) points.

ROI (-2.8)%.    Bank (from 500 start) 492.86 (down 1.4%)

With 3 losing bets so far, two of which were at significantly shorter than average odds, the safest staking methodology has been “fixed profit target” – not “fixed liability”.

Inspector Colin

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Insp Colin  Lay of the Day – Day 17