It’s the Logical next step

On the forum this week, one of our readers has been asking about a Football Stats site called Bettor Logic. Now I must admit that I had not come across this site before and so thought that a look around may be in order.

Now on most of the stats sites you can get away without paying for most of the information, which is most helpful, but Bettor Logic is a bit different to your normal football stats site. The site has been designed not just for football but also golf, cricket, F1 and tennis. I am not suggesting anyone go out and buy this yet (for the football at least) because the season is almost at the end but there is an offer at the moment where you can get 14 days free subscription to the site. What I would suggest, is to take up their offer and use the 2 weeks to suss out the almost limitless range of pre-match and in-play scenarios that are available to you.

When you go onto the site you will discover the Form Lab Pro descrbed as “the most powerful, flexible and intelligent football betting tool available anywhere”. The Form Lab gives unique performance analysis, rating indicators and editorial guidance that will enable you to explore a myriad of concepts and profit building angles. There is also the Player Pro, which sets new standards in betting analytics as it examines which players and combinations of players influence team performance throughout the major European Leagues. An absolutely fabulous site.

Just go check it out with a 14 day free subscription, with a view to using it next season. Check it out here.

Now my Friday Footy Tips have been going for the last 3 months and I would just like to bring you up to date with how they have performed. Each week I have been giving you 1 to back and 1 to lay. The back bets have always been over 2.0 and the lay bets have always been under 2.0.

In fact the actual average odds of the bets have been 2.43 for the back bets and 1.80 for the lay bets. So far we have had 24 bets, of which 12 have been correct and 12 have been incorrect. From that you will gather that we have attained a 50% Strike Rate but as we have been betting at well above evens, this has led to a profit of 3.75 points over 24 bets, giving a ROI of 15 .6%. Now I know you will say that 24 bets is not an awful lot and certainly not enough to base anything at all on but the lays bets I have been giving you have been part of my season long test of laying odds-on football favourites that are poor value. This test has now yielded 173 bets of which 101 have been winners for us, a Strike Rate of 58.38% and it has produced 45.78 points worth of profits at 26.46% ROI.

I did say the other week that I would keep you informed about this system and that is what I have done here. It is a system that I will be rolling out for next season, somewhere on the net, so just stay tuned. Right onto this weeks’ Friday Footy Tips and this week you are getting 2 to back but no lays.

Back   West Ham   11/10   Tote   – West Ham are at home to Sunderland. West Ham are 19th in the 8 match form table whereas Sunderland are 9th, so in that respect it is a bit of a mismatch. However there are compelling reasons to back West Ham. True they have lost their last 3 home games and they have won nowhere in their last 7 matches, including 6 straight defeats prior to last Sunday when they gained a very creditable 2-2 draw at Everton. Zola and West Ham will be invigorated by that result. They know they are in a real dog-fight at the bottom of the table and they may have to forsake their pure football style for a more pragmatic approach. Hull play Burnley this weekend, so it is a real chance for the Hammers to put some daylight between themselves and their pursuers. West Ham also have a very good home record against Sunderland, winning 7 of the last 10 games. Although Sunderland are in a purple patch at the moment, they cannot win away. They have only won once away from the Stadium of Light and that was on the opening day of the season, 1-0 at Bolton. So, there are good reasons to back Zola and his band of merry men and I take them to get a crucial victory. One thing it won’t be is a 0-0 draw.

Back   Watford   11/10   Tote   – Watford are at home to Plymouth. This is not a 6 pointer at the bottom of the Championship, it is more like a 12 pointer. 21st v 23rd, 4 points between them, Plymouth deep in the smelly stuff and Watford just above it, on goal difference only. The loser is a dead man and the winner is a dead man walking. Well probably not walking, more like slightly limping. Why am I going for Watford, after all, they have only won 1 of their last 7 home games, although previously they had won 6 home games out of 8. Again, they have not won anywhere for the last 6 games but they almost pulled off a famous victory over West Brom on Monday, just being denied by a last minute equaliser, so hopefully they are coming back to form at the right time. Plymouth on the other hand, have won their last 2 away games but they were against teams with nothing to play for. The last time they had a meaningful away game was at Scunthorpe, where they lost 2-1 after being a goal in front. I am taking Watford to bounce back to form and win this one. Again this will definitely not be a 0-0 draw.