Jan 11th, 2010 Archives


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No, it’s not the big kick off in the Unicycle Ice Hockey season, or the Extreme Ironing Championship, but the Spread Betting Tipping League has just started, after what was loosely described as a “pre-season” tournament.

If you’ve been following the recommendations so far, then you will be comfortably in front, but that would be mainly down to the successful tips from Spreadwise of the Racing Post. However, one of the purposes of the month or so of trialling the league, was so that inexperienced spread bettors could get used to the staking systems necessary with this type of gambling.

So, with the help of the tutorials I’ve produced on this subject, as well as others covering unit stakes/points and managing your bank, I think the participants are now better placed to make the most of their expertise.

Currently, we have 6 tipsters, one of which is myself. My tips are exclusively football selections, including Weekend Live matches, and La Liga bookings, where 10 of my last 11 recommendations have been winners.

The mystical Spreadwise has been the one to follow so far, with a whopping profit of around 50 points, from a total of 9 different sports. Maybe someone can help me out here, but I’m guessing that our friend at the RP is not a single individual, but a brainstorm of pundits from the variety of sports which are offered.

The Sage of Sambourne is a good friend of mine whose sporting knowledge is second to none, and I’m assured that the fiver is in the post for that comment!

Sam Spread and Mr Fixit are two tipsters from the leading Scottish redtop, The Daily Record, and both are worth following. Sam is one of the few spread tipsters around, while Mr Fixit is exclusively fixed odds, but we will use his banker bets where we can and convert them to spreads as a useful experiment to see how the two compare.

And finally, LTO’s very own Mark Layton, who by his own admission struggled in the early part of pre-season with his staking, and also strayed a little from his specialist subject, Horse Racing. I know he is keen to make a fresh start with his fine horse tips, at the appropriate stakes!

There’s room for more, so just let me know, and you can join in, but keep an eye out for our tips, and remember to read the tutorials before getting involved. Good luck!

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Passed with 5/5 Stars!

Passed with 4.5/5 stars!

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In tragic circumstances, the Africa Cup of Nations in Angola got underway yesterday. The why’s and wherefore’s of what actually happened last week will carry on until well after the World Cup in South Africa because the implications are just too dreadful to contemplate, with the greatest ever festival of sport about to engulf the African continent for the first time.

Africa Cup of NationsPersonally, I fully endorse the decision to continue with the Africa  Cup of Nations but fully understand the reasons why Togo felt unable to compete. However, it is right to play the tournament because there is no way we should ever let a bunch of rebels, hooligans, terrorists, criminals, whatever you like to call them, interfere with our way of life and for pursuing our ambitions.

For the last decade, Africa has developed the game of football faster than anywhere else in the world. Their teams are now more organised, more tactically aware, more technically gifted, fitter, better trained and skilful, than they have ever been. The game on the African continent has exploded over the last decade and now all the top teams in the world have scouting operations in Africa and help with the development of youngsters over there.

As for the tournament itself, we see all the usual suspects at the top of the betting charts, Ivory Coast, Cameroon, Ghana, Nigeria and Egypt. I certainly expect the winner to come from this group. The Elephants (Ivory Coast) have come unstuck at the last 2 African Cups to Egypt and they will be desperate to put right that anomaly and have been made tournament favourites, at a prohibitive 9/4.

As so often, when it gets to the knock-out stage, the favourites don’t always get it their own way and the Elephants have suffered with this over the last few competitions, so it does make you wonder about their mental strength and at the price they don’t offer the value, albeit that the Drog will be leading their line and surely scoring one or two goals along the way. They also, do have the talent and experience, which is why they are favourites but not value, in my mind. More on Africa Cup of Nations

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Passed with 5/5 Stars!

Passed with 4.5/5 stars!

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It may not be everyone’s cup of tea but with the current bad weather the UK is experiencing the majority of the racing having taken place since the New Years Day meeting at Cheltenham has been on the artificial surfaces. With no let up in the weather this week it seems an appropriate time to take a closer look at the All Weather action.

All WeatherThere are a number of ways to spot a potential winner on the All Weather, certain courses have draw and pace biases, and also particular trainers consistently perform well each year. Before we expand on these angles we should first understand the type of surface that is used and how it compares to the turf.

LINGFIELD, KEMPTON and WOLVERHMAPTON all use a Polytrack.

Most horses can handle this surface okay. It is a fairly consistent type of surface with STANDARD going being the normal track condition, although extremes of weather can make it ride fast or slow, but the going forecast by the course officials is usually pretty accurate. Polytrack could be compared to good / good-firm going on the turf. Polytrack is basically sand which has been covered around 6 inches deep in a rubbery (polymer) substance, which is designed to minimise the amount of sand being kicked into the horse’s eyes.

SOUTHWELL has a Fibre Sand surface

This has a unique nature and not all horses can act on it. This surface is a deep sand base and can be a testing ground similar to soft/heavy going on the turf. Fibre Sand has more kickback and can make it more difficult to come from off the pace.

DRAW BIAS

LINGFIELD – Middle to low drawn horses have a slight advantage over 5/6f but it is not particularly significant. Over 7f very low draws have statistically been at a slight disadvantage. Over 1m+ there is no draw bias.

WOLVERHAMPTON – Over 5f low draws have traditionally had the advantage and although it may not be as strong as it used to be, you would definitely prefer a low draw over a high one. Over 6f a lower draw has a slight advantage. 7f+ there is no draw bias.

SOUTHWELL – Over 5f on the straight course very high draws tend to be at a disadvantage. This is because they are often forced to rail under the near side where the ground is slower. From 6f upwards there is no draw bias. More on All Weather Racing

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Passed with 5/5 Stars!

Passed with 4.5/5 stars!