Nov 29th, 2009 Archives


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Although I class myself as serious horse racing player, there is plenty being talked on this site regarding ways into the market on that sport. So I thought, why not give sports fans something to chew on!

I will however get in an early plug for a brand new service I am launching on 30th November (free trial until the new year) called X-Movers. This service is a low-risk horse racing trading advisory service and I have teamed up with a another Betfair pro to deliver a concept that is not available anywhere on the market.

For the past 5 months we have been simplifying the trading process on racing to enable any trader to profit from the markets without risking any more than £20 in the process. If you would like know more details and to sign-up head over to Pro X Trading.

Today; I want to talk to you about how to spot trading opportunities in football, I am not going to suggest you lay the draw and trade out after a goal is scored. There are better of ways of profiting on Betfair if your objective is to obtain a profit after a goal.

The beauty of the in-play markets on Betfair at least one price will be always moving towards 1.01 when the action is producing no goals, it could be 3-3, the draw price is still shortening.

I feel anybody who watches football and trades could easily make steady profits from this simple technique of entering the markets at the right time.

The following screenshot is taken just after the 31st minute mark in the Liverpool v Man City, I had in my notes that the price of the under 1.5 goals would be close to 1.80 if the match remained 0-0 at half-time. (Over 0.60 in price movement)

Liverpool v Manchester City 1.5 Goals

If we take the 1st half stoppage time out of the equation for a minute, I will explain why later and look at my thought process. I have rough idea in my mind of where the price could be at half-time and with a simple quick calculation and that will give me guide of 0.04 movement each minute of of unders to the break. (0.60/15=0.04)

Liverpool v Manchester City 1.5 Goals

The second screenshot is taken only 3 minutes later (no goals), but you will notice that under 1.5 goals price has fallen almost 0.30 in that short space of time, in the time it took just £13k (circled) to be matched in the market.

So how do you spot these opportunities? More on The X-Trader Series – How to Spot Opportunities in the Markets

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Passed with 5/5 Stars!

Passed with 4.5/5 stars!

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The BetBotPro is an automated bot, that, if you get the settings right, will make you money. This is a fire up and leave it bot – and it does what it say’s on the tin! I have made a nice profit (to £29 stakes) every day I have used it.

Bet Bot ProI have posted my criterion on the lay betting forum. As with all software, I am positive I will have the odd losing day, but in the long run, I am confident this will make good profits. I cannot recommend this highly enough.

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Passed with 5/5 Stars!

Passed with 4.5/5 stars!

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Tobias Reinkemeier vs Roland De Wolfe

After that play he must be top 10 most hated player!

Have you ever been a victim of cheating and collusion in Poker?

If so, you can read more about my experience and how to avoid it happening to you in my How to avoid being a victim of collusion article.

BrasilNut

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Passed with 5/5 Stars!

Passed with 4.5/5 stars!